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2010-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 23.5% 76.5% -
Margin 35.6% 64.4% +3.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -

Actual: LA Clippers +10 (94-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Beasley * 39 7-15 1-1 5-6 7 2 3 1 4 20 14 -
Dwyane Wade * 35 11-23 1-4 1-3 2 3 3 0 3 24 6 -
Dorell Wright * 29 2-9 0-1 1-1 5 1 0 1 0 5 3 -
Quentin Richardson * 28 1-7 0-3 2-2 7 3 2 1 0 4 10 -
Udonis Haslem * 22 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 0 -
Rafer Alston * 22 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 4 3 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 19 0-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 2 3 2 -1 -
Mario Chalmers * 16 4-8 1-4 2-2 0 3 3 1 1 11 9 -
Joel Anthony * 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Jamaal Magloire 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 1 1 6 12 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rasual Butler * 39 4-8 2-4 3-4 2 1 0 1 1 13 8 -
Chris Kaman * 37 10-24 0-0 2-2 14 1 0 2 0 22 15 -
Baron Davis * 35 2-10 1-4 6-6 0 14 1 0 5 11 11 -
Marcus Camby * 30 3-6 0-0 0-0 17 2 3 1 0 6 23 -
Eric Gordon * 27 6-9 1-3 4-6 1 0 1 0 3 17 7 -
Al Thornton * 23 4-8 0-0 5-5 4 1 0 0 3 13 7 -
Craig Smith * 19 1-3 0-0 7-10 7 3 0 0 1 9 15 -
Mardy Collins * 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -2 -
Ricky Davis * 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
DeAndre Jordan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter