Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -4 (105-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 11-25 | 2-7 | 9-10 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 24 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 36 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 27 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 41 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 33 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 32 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 18 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 14 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter