Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -9 (103-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 41 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 10-28 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 6 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 25 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tim Thomas | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois | 5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 39 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 28 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 38 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| George Hill * | 22 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Antonio McDyess | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter