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2010-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 49.2% 50.8% -
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +3 (96-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Rose * 37 10-25 0-0 5-7 5 9 0 0 2 25 12 -
Luol Deng * 36 4-10 0-1 5-10 7 2 0 1 1 13 12 -
Kirk Hinrich * 32 4-10 2-4 2-4 2 6 2 0 2 12 10 -
Tyrus Thomas * 29 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 2 1 1 1 4 8 -
Joakim Noah * 27 5-10 0-0 0-0 18 0 0 1 1 10 18 -
Taj Gibson * 23 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
John Salmons * 23 3-8 3-5 1-2 1 3 0 0 1 10 5 -
Brad Miller * 20 3-6 1-1 4-4 4 2 0 2 0 11 13 -
James Johnson * 9 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Bogut * 42 11-23 0-0 5-7 13 2 0 6 1 27 24 -
Brandon Jennings * 38 1-9 0-2 3-3 3 8 0 3 4 5 6 -
Michael Redd * 35 8-16 2-5 6-8 8 2 0 0 0 24 18 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 25 5-12 3-7 0-0 11 0 0 0 0 13 12 -
Hakim Warrick * 22 4-7 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 2 0 11 13 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 21 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 1 1 -
Charlie Bell * 20 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 5 4 -
Luke Ridnour * 16 3-5 2-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 4 10 2 -
Carlos Delfino * 10 0-5 0-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Kurt Thomas * 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter