Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -6 (106-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajon Rondo * | 49 | 9-12 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 43 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 40 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 37 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 35 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 43 | 15-34 | 3-7 | 11-16 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 44 | 24 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 37 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 35 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 34 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 33 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter