Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +1 (123-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 45 | 14-29 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 9 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 40 | 10-13 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Corey Maggette * | 32 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 30 | - |
| Anthony Morrow * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Randolph * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chris Hunter | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Devean George | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Martin * | 39 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 34 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | - |
| JR Smith * | 33 | 8-20 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 6 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 29 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
* = starter