Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +17 (92-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 38 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Al Horford * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 12-13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Teague | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Randolph Morris | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jason Collins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 39 | 10-21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 11-20 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 27 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter