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2010-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 49.4% 50.6% -
Margin 49.8% 50.2% +0.0 (35.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +35 (131-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 31 7-18 0-0 8-10 8 1 0 0 2 22 11 -
Jason Kidd * 26 0-6 0-6 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 0 2 -
Jason Terry * 26 3-8 1-3 3-3 1 1 0 0 2 10 2 -
Josh Howard * 23 2-11 0-3 3-3 4 1 0 0 1 7 0 -
Shawn Marion * 21 2-6 0-0 2-4 3 1 2 0 1 6 5 -
Drew Gooden * 21 2-5 0-0 2-2 7 2 2 0 1 6 11 -
Tim Thomas * 20 3-6 2-5 4-4 0 0 1 0 0 12 7 -
J.J. Barea * 19 5-9 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 10 4 -
Kris Humphries * 18 3-8 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 1 0 7 7 -
Rodrigue Beaubois * 16 3-8 2-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 8 5 -
Quinton Ross 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
James Singleton 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 5 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lamar Odom * 32 6-12 1-3 2-4 15 6 0 1 1 15 24 -
Kobe Bryant * 32 6-12 1-4 2-2 3 8 0 1 4 15 11 -
Andrew Bynum * 28 8-8 0-0 3-4 5 4 1 0 0 19 21 -
Jordan Farmar * 27 8-14 6-8 2-2 1 1 2 1 1 24 14 -
Shannon Brown * 24 5-7 1-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 11 8 -
Sasha Vujacic * 20 4-8 3-6 0-0 5 2 2 0 0 11 12 -
Derek Fisher * 20 2-4 2-2 4-4 1 1 1 0 1 10 8 -
Josh Powell * 19 4-7 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 8 8 -
Adam Morrison * 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
Pau Gasol * 7 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
DJ Mbenga 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 3 1 6 8 -

* = starter