Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (25.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +30 (108-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 40 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 29 | 6-18 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 22 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 28 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 25 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 24 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Malik Hairston | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Haislip | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Theo Ratliff | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter