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2009-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% -
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +3 (97-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jason Kidd * 42 7-10 0-2 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 14 12 -
Shawn Marion * 39 8-12 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 1 16 15 -
Josh Howard * 33 5-14 0-3 6-7 5 1 2 1 3 16 8 -
Jason Terry * 33 7-12 1-3 5-7 1 4 2 0 1 20 14 -
Dirk Nowitzki * 30 3-12 1-2 4-4 7 1 0 4 3 11 8 -
Drew Gooden * 24 5-10 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 0 10 10 -
J.J. Barea * 20 1-6 0-2 2-2 4 3 1 1 1 4 6 -
Erick Dampier * 16 1-6 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 1 1 3 3 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Brooks * 42 11-26 6-12 2-3 4 4 0 0 3 30 9 -
Trevor Ariza * 40 4-10 0-2 3-6 9 7 3 0 5 11 15 -
Shane Battier * 38 4-12 2-9 1-1 8 5 2 1 1 11 14 -
Carl Landry * 32 7-13 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 15 3 -
Luis Scola * 30 6-11 0-0 0-0 13 2 1 0 2 12 15 -
Kyle Lowry * 27 5-8 2-3 0-0 6 5 1 0 1 12 15 -
Chuck Hayes * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 2 6 -
David Andersen * 11 2-8 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 -3 -

* = starter