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2009-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% -
Margin 47.3% 52.7% +0.6 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (87-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Rose * 40 7-18 0-1 8-8 4 4 1 2 2 22 13 -
Joakim Noah * 33 5-8 0-0 5-6 21 4 1 1 8 15 26 -
Luol Deng * 32 3-10 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 3 3 7 -1 -
Kirk Hinrich * 29 1-6 0-1 1-1 6 6 2 0 1 3 10 -
Tyrus Thomas * 27 4-6 0-0 11-14 7 2 2 1 3 19 22 -
John Salmons * 26 6-10 2-4 3-3 0 1 1 1 1 17 9 -
Taj Gibson * 22 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 2 8 6 -
Brad Miller * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 2 1 -
James Johnson * 13 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 5 4 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tayshaun Prince * 36 5-16 0-2 1-2 4 2 2 0 0 11 3 -
Ben Gordon * 34 7-16 3-8 4-4 1 3 2 1 3 21 9 -
Rodney Stuckey * 32 9-18 0-0 4-6 3 6 4 0 1 22 16 -
Richard Hamilton * 29 2-13 0-2 3-4 2 2 0 0 3 7 -5 -
Charlie Villanueva * 28 4-14 2-6 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 10 1 -
Ben Wallace * 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 2 0 2 11 -
Jonas Jerebko * 19 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 8 7 -
Chris Wilcox * 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 2 3 4 7 -
Kwame Brown * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jason Maxiell * 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 2 3 -
Chucky Atkins 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Austin Daye 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter