Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.0% | 45.0% | -1.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +4 (95-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 39 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 34 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 18 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David West * | 39 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 37 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 29 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| James Posey * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Julian Wright | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter