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2009-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +4 (107-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Jackson * 46 8-18 3-10 11-11 2 5 0 0 7 30 12 -
Gerald Wallace * 43 7-13 0-1 1-1 16 2 1 0 4 15 17 -
Raymond Felton * 33 10-12 1-3 2-3 7 4 2 0 6 23 18 -
Boris Diaw * 28 3-6 1-4 2-2 3 3 0 0 3 9 6 -
Flip Murray * 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
D.J. Augustin * 16 2-7 0-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 4 0 -
Stephen Graham * 15 3-7 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
Nazr Mohammed * 8 3-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
Derrick Brown * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
DeSagana Diop 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 1 0 3 7 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrea Bargnani * 41 11-20 2-6 4-4 4 0 1 1 4 28 10 -
Chris Bosh * 37 11-20 0-0 11-11 13 2 2 1 1 33 30 -
Jarrett Jack * 37 3-6 1-2 0-1 2 6 3 1 3 7 10 -
Sonny Weems * 23 2-10 0-0 5-6 2 3 1 2 1 9 6 -
Marco Belinelli * 21 3-11 1-6 6-7 4 1 3 1 0 13 11 -
DeMar DeRozan * 19 4-7 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 10 7 -
Antoine Wright * 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
Amir Johnson * 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 2 7 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 2 5 -
Marcus Banks * 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter