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2009-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% -
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +5 (106-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 39 15-25 3-6 2-2 4 3 2 0 2 35 17 -
Josh Smith * 38 4-11 0-0 3-4 6 5 0 1 2 11 10 -
Mike Bibby * 37 7-16 3-7 3-3 3 6 1 0 2 20 12 -
Jamal Crawford * 32 3-12 1-2 4-4 5 3 0 0 1 11 6 -
Marvin Williams * 30 4-5 0-1 0-0 7 1 1 1 1 8 12 -
Al Horford * 25 4-8 0-0 2-2 7 3 1 1 2 10 12 -
Zaza Pachulia * 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Jason Collins * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
Joe Smith * 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Maurice Evans * 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 43 15-23 4-6 14-16 10 6 2 2 3 48 42 -
Mo Williams * 36 5-14 1-5 3-3 5 10 2 0 1 14 16 -
Anthony Parker * 33 3-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
Anderson Varejao * 32 6-8 1-1 1-3 9 0 0 3 0 14 18 -
Shaquille O'Neal * 20 4-9 0-0 3-8 5 3 0 1 2 11 9 -
JJ Hickson * 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 4 2 -
Delonte West * 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 -
Daniel Gibson * 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 2 -
Jamario Moon * 13 0-3 0-3 5-6 3 1 1 0 0 5 7 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter