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2009-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -11 (84-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 39 6-20 0-5 2-3 8 10 5 1 4 14 14 -
Mo Williams * 36 7-15 3-6 3-3 3 5 1 0 7 20 7 -
Anderson Varejao * 32 1-1 0-0 1-2 8 2 1 0 2 3 11 -
Delonte West * 29 6-11 1-2 4-6 5 2 2 0 2 17 13 -
Shaquille O'Neal * 25 5-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 10 10 -
Anthony Parker * 22 4-7 0-1 2-3 2 1 0 1 0 10 7 -
Jamario Moon * 17 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 -1 -
JJ Hickson * 16 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 4 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas 19 6-8 1-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 15 12 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 42 5-14 2-5 3-4 2 4 1 0 4 15 4 -
Al Horford * 40 3-7 0-0 3-4 9 2 2 1 4 9 12 -
Jamal Crawford * 33 10-17 4-5 2-4 4 2 2 0 2 26 15 -
Josh Smith * 30 7-13 0-0 1-6 8 2 0 1 1 15 12 -
Marvin Williams * 30 3-6 0-1 6-6 1 1 0 1 1 12 8 -
Mike Bibby * 27 1-7 0-3 0-0 3 7 2 0 1 2 6 -
Zaza Pachulia * 17 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 1 2 3 6 -
Maurice Evans * 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 2 1 -
Joe Smith * 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter