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2009-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 17.1% 82.9% -
Margin 38.3% 61.7% +2.6 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +15 (118-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Bryant * 36 14-26 1-5 5-6 7 2 0 0 1 34 16 -
Pau Gasol * 35 5-10 0-0 3-4 5 5 1 0 4 13 10 -
Lamar Odom * 30 4-13 1-2 0-0 13 1 0 0 2 9 8 -
Andrew Bynum * 30 4-10 0-0 6-8 9 0 0 2 1 14 14 -
Derek Fisher * 24 1-7 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 2 -2 -
Jordan Farmar * 19 3-7 1-1 2-2 0 2 2 0 1 9 5 -
Sasha Vujacic * 19 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Shannon Brown * 14 4-5 1-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 10 7 -
Adam Morrison 13 3-8 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 7 3 -
DJ Mbenga 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 0 0 2 -
Josh Powell 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Channing Frye * 35 5-16 2-10 2-2 11 2 1 1 1 14 12 -
Amar'e Stoudemire * 32 11-17 0-0 4-6 6 0 1 0 3 26 13 -
Steve Nash * 30 5-11 3-6 3-3 3 13 0 0 2 16 19 -
Jared Dudley * 28 6-10 3-4 4-6 7 3 1 1 1 19 20 -
Jason Richardson * 26 1-6 1-5 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 4 2 -
Goran Dragic * 23 5-10 2-6 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 14 5 -
Robin Lopez * 20 4-4 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 1 0 8 10 -
Grant Hill * 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 0 6 10 -
Leandro Barbosa * 15 3-7 1-2 4-4 0 1 0 0 0 11 5 -
Lou Amundson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Earl Clark 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter