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2009-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 24.1% 75.9% +6.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +5 (116-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caron Butler * 49 9-18 1-2 5-6 9 2 1 1 3 24 16 -
Gilbert Arenas * 46 12-26 5-11 1-2 4 5 5 0 4 30 14 -
Brendan Haywood * 44 5-8 0-0 2-5 9 1 0 5 1 12 18 -
Antawn Jamison * 41 8-22 3-5 5-6 13 0 1 0 1 24 15 -
Randy Foye * 23 4-6 0-1 3-3 1 3 0 0 1 11 8 -
Andray Blatche * 19 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 4 3 3 -
Nick Young * 18 2-5 1-2 2-3 1 0 1 0 1 7 3 -
Earl Boykins * 17 0-7 0-1 0-0 0 6 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Dominic McGuire * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
DeShawn Stevenson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.J. Mayo * 46 11-24 3-9 3-4 7 6 0 1 4 28 14 -
Marc Gasol * 45 8-12 0-0 4-4 11 3 0 1 3 20 20 -
Zach Randolph * 43 7-17 0-0 9-9 19 2 1 1 3 23 26 -
Mike Conley * 39 9-15 1-4 3-4 4 5 0 1 0 22 17 -
Sam Young * 27 3-11 0-1 2-3 4 2 0 0 3 8 0 -
DeMarre Carroll * 25 3-6 0-1 1-2 1 4 0 0 0 7 6 -
Hasheem Thabeet * 17 2-5 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 1 6 7 -
Jamaal Tinsley * 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 3 -
Marcus Williams 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter