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2009-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 50.6% 49.4% -
Margin 56.8% 43.2% -1.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +10 (94-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Jennings * 40 9-18 2-5 4-6 2 7 0 0 5 24 10 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 36 3-6 0-0 3-4 10 1 2 1 3 9 14 -
Jodie Meeks * 25 1-7 0-3 4-4 7 2 0 0 0 6 8 -
Luke Ridnour * 23 6-10 2-6 3-4 1 0 2 1 4 17 7 -
Hakim Warrick * 22 4-7 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 10 4 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 20 5-10 2-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 12 7 -
Andrew Bogut * 18 1-6 0-0 0-2 5 1 0 2 0 2 4 -
Michael Redd * 16 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 2 0 1 2 -1 -
Francisco Elson * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 5 -
Carlos Delfino * 10 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 2 1 -
Charlie Bell * 7 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Kurt Thomas * 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerald Wallace * 43 7-13 0-1 7-9 14 4 1 1 1 21 27 -
Stephen Jackson * 35 4-13 0-1 4-4 5 3 0 2 6 12 3 -
Boris Diaw * 34 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 5 0 0 4 6 2 -
Raymond Felton * 31 4-6 2-3 1-2 6 3 0 0 0 11 14 -
Flip Murray * 28 6-17 1-7 3-4 6 2 1 0 2 16 6 -
Stephen Graham * 17 4-6 0-0 3-3 3 2 1 1 0 11 12 -
D.J. Augustin * 16 2-8 1-5 2-2 2 3 1 0 0 7 5 -
Nazr Mohammed * 11 0-4 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 3 1 1 -1 -
DeSagana Diop 12 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 7 7 -
Derrick Brown 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Acie Law 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Gerald Henderson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter