Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -8 (96-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 36 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 29 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 27 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 20 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 27 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 27 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nene Hilario * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 37 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 37 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 30 | 5-19 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 29 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| JR Smith * | 27 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 18 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -2 | - |
* = starter