Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✓ (30.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +34 (114-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Rush * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Luther Head * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 23 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 4-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 22 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| AJ Price * | 12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Richardson * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 27 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 21 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 20 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 18 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| James Jones | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter