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2009-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% -
Margin 53.3% 46.7% -0.7 (25.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +25 (108-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Ariza * 31 2-10 2-5 5-8 5 3 0 0 2 11 7 -
Shane Battier * 30 2-5 1-4 2-3 2 3 1 0 2 7 6 -
Aaron Brooks * 30 7-15 3-6 6-6 3 3 0 0 2 23 12 -
David Andersen * 27 2-10 1-4 2-4 3 2 3 0 1 7 4 -
Kyle Lowry * 24 0-5 0-3 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 2 2 -
Carl Landry * 24 3-8 0-0 5-5 6 0 0 1 2 11 8 -
Luis Scola * 22 4-9 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 8 4 -
Jermaine Taylor * 17 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 4 2 -
Chuck Hayes * 15 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 1 3 -
Mike Harris 10 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 5 3 -
Brian Cook 5 1-2 1-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mo Williams * 32 7-13 4-6 2-2 6 5 0 0 3 20 15 -
LeBron James * 29 12-20 2-5 3-4 5 6 3 1 1 29 23 -
Anthony Parker * 26 2-6 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
Delonte West * 25 1-5 0-0 5-6 3 3 1 1 3 7 7 -
JJ Hickson * 23 4-10 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 8 4 -
Jamario Moon * 23 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 2 1 4 8 -
Shaquille O'Neal * 22 5-12 0-0 3-4 11 4 0 1 1 13 16 -
Anderson Varejao * 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 4 2 2 4 11 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 16 6-13 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 0 12 7 -
Daniel Gibson 5 3-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
Darnell Jackson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Jawad Williams 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter