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2009-12-26

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% -
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (106-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Randolph * 42 12-19 0-0 3-5 14 2 1 0 1 27 24 -
Rudy Gay * 41 10-22 0-1 2-4 10 2 0 1 1 22 12 -
O.J. Mayo * 40 4-14 2-4 8-8 5 5 2 0 4 18 12 -
Marc Gasol * 33 5-10 0-0 3-5 12 1 0 0 2 13 14 -
Mike Conley * 32 2-10 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 6 -3 -
Sam Young * 22 4-6 0-0 3-5 1 1 0 0 1 11 6 -
Jamaal Tinsley * 15 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Hasheem Thabeet * 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
DeMarre Carroll 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 40 10-16 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 4 20 8 -
Jason Kidd * 35 4-10 2-6 0-0 5 10 3 2 2 10 18 -
Erick Dampier * 34 6-6 0-0 1-2 10 1 0 3 0 13 21 -
Jason Terry * 32 7-18 3-5 6-6 1 5 2 2 1 23 14 -
J.J. Barea * 27 5-13 0-4 1-1 3 3 0 0 0 11 4 -
Shawn Marion * 25 4-7 0-0 2-3 7 2 0 0 0 10 12 -
Josh Howard * 24 4-6 0-0 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 11 7 -
Tim Thomas * 11 2-4 1-2 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
Kris Humphries * 7 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 3 7 -

* = starter