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2009-12-25

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 48.4% 51.6% -
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +11 (107-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenyon Martin * 40 6-10 0-0 0-0 14 2 2 0 2 12 18 -
Carmelo Anthony * 39 11-23 1-2 9-10 9 4 0 0 1 32 21 -
Nene Hilario * 36 3-7 0-0 3-5 3 1 1 1 1 9 7 -
JR Smith * 29 9-23 2-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 20 -2 -
Chauncey Billups * 19 3-7 1-3 3-3 2 5 0 0 1 10 9 -
Chris Andersen * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 5 1 0 7 -
Arron Afflalo * 18 3-5 0-2 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
Ty Lawson * 18 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Anthony Carter * 17 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 45 5-10 0-0 0-0 13 3 1 1 2 10 16 -
Brandon Roy * 43 16-26 3-6 6-6 6 4 1 0 2 41 24 -
Juwan Howard * 30 2-5 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 1 1 4 10 -
Jerryd Bayless * 29 2-10 0-3 4-7 1 7 0 0 1 8 5 -
Andre Miller * 25 5-9 0-0 4-5 1 8 1 0 1 14 14 -
Martell Webster * 24 4-7 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 11 4 -
Steve Blake * 21 6-8 5-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 17 11 -
Jeff Ayres * 19 0-1 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 2 6 -

* = starter