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2009-12-25

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 54.7% 45.3% -1.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -

Actual: New York Knicks -6 (87-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwyane Wade * 38 11-21 1-2 7-8 9 5 4 0 4 30 23 -
Michael Beasley * 34 7-16 0-1 5-6 2 0 0 0 0 19 5 -
Quentin Richardson * 31 3-10 1-7 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 8 -1 -
Udonis Haslem * 29 4-9 0-0 4-4 6 0 1 0 1 12 9 -
Mario Chalmers * 27 1-4 0-1 9-12 1 1 3 0 2 11 10 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 24 5-7 0-0 1-1 8 3 0 0 2 11 13 -
Carlos Arroyo * 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
Dorell Wright * 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 1 0 8 -
Daequan Cook * 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Joel Anthony * 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 2 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danilo Gallinari * 42 8-18 3-11 7-7 8 3 0 0 2 26 17 -
David Lee * 40 9-14 0-0 1-2 16 1 0 0 4 19 18 -
Wilson Chandler * 38 6-11 1-4 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 15 7 -
Chris Duhon * 35 2-6 1-2 2-2 2 3 2 1 4 7 5 -
Al Harrington * 32 5-20 0-7 2-3 7 1 1 0 0 12 1 -
Jared Jeffries * 24 1-2 0-1 1-3 4 1 0 2 1 3 7 -
Larry Hughes * 18 0-3 0-2 3-4 5 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
Jonathan Bender * 8 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -4 -

* = starter