Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | +5.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +20 (124-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 39 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 39 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Al Horford * | 38 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 30 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 14 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Randolph Morris | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Othello Hunter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 40 | 8-19 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 35 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| JR Smith * | 30 | 15-25 | 10-17 | 1-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 21 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 20 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Johan Petro | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Malik Allen | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Joey Graham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter