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2009-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 74.4% 25.6% -
Margin 64.5% 35.5% -3.3 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +6 (108-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monta Ellis * 48 15-26 0-3 5-8 2 5 4 0 5 35 15 -
Stephen Curry * 47 6-13 3-5 2-2 10 7 2 0 2 17 21 -
C.J. Watson * 37 2-7 1-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 5 3 -
Corey Maggette * 37 8-12 0-0 6-6 10 2 2 0 2 22 22 -
Anthony Randolph * 36 5-14 0-0 2-2 8 2 2 8 1 12 17 -
Anthony Morrow * 24 4-9 1-3 1-2 3 0 1 1 1 10 5 -
Vladimir Radmanovic * 10 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Paul * 39 8-17 1-3 3-6 5 7 1 0 0 20 16 -
David West * 34 6-13 0-0 2-2 8 4 0 2 6 14 9 -
Peja Stojakovic * 28 4-9 1-1 4-4 0 2 0 0 1 13 5 -
James Posey * 27 1-3 1-3 2-2 8 2 0 0 0 5 12 -
Devin Brown * 25 4-12 2-3 1-1 2 2 2 0 3 11 2 -
Emeka Okafor * 22 4-17 0-0 2-3 14 0 1 0 1 10 7 -
Julian Wright * 19 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 1 1 8 11 -
Darren Collison * 13 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 4 0 0 2 6 6 -
Bobby Brown * 13 2-5 2-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Darius Songaila * 9 3-7 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 3 8 3 -
Marcus Thornton 6 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -

* = starter