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2009-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% -
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -12 (97-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caron Butler * 42 10-17 0-1 5-5 10 1 2 0 3 25 18 -
Antawn Jamison * 39 6-11 1-1 10-11 10 0 0 0 0 23 22 -
Brendan Haywood * 35 2-4 0-0 1-2 9 0 1 6 0 5 17 -
Gilbert Arenas * 32 5-14 1-3 7-8 4 10 2 0 7 18 13 -
Randy Foye * 24 4-8 1-2 3-3 1 6 1 0 0 12 12 -
Nick Young * 20 1-1 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Earl Boykins * 18 5-8 2-2 3-3 1 2 1 0 2 15 9 -
Andray Blatche * 11 2-5 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 2 5 0 -
Fabricio Oberto * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -
Dominic McGuire 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Redd * 34 8-21 1-5 15-15 6 4 1 1 1 32 22 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 33 3-6 0-0 5-8 5 3 1 1 0 11 15 -
Andrew Bogut * 28 5-13 0-0 2-2 9 2 0 2 1 12 11 -
Charlie Bell * 27 6-15 0-4 2-2 1 0 2 0 0 14 2 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 23 1-8 1-5 1-2 2 2 0 0 3 4 -3 -
Carlos Delfino * 22 1-7 1-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 3 3 -
Kurt Thomas * 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 2 6 -
Brandon Jennings * 15 3-9 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 1 3 7 2 -
Jodie Meeks * 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 2 6 -
Hakim Warrick * 10 1-4 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Luke Ridnour 8 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 2 -

* = starter