Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +10 (80-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Boozer * | 34 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 33 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 27 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ronnie Price * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kyrylo Fesenko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 12-28 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 28 | 2-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 28 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 16 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| James Jones * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter