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Portland Trail Blazers 85
@
Dallas Mavericks 81
2009-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 57.1% 42.9% - ✓
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 ✗ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - ✗

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -4 (81-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 44 9-16 0-0 1-3 12 2 1 1 1 19 18 -
Brandon Roy * 41 7-19 1-4 8-8 3 6 4 1 2 23 16 -
Juwan Howard * 34 5-10 0-0 0-0 10 4 1 0 2 10 13 -
Martell Webster * 28 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Steve Blake * 27 2-7 2-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 6 5 -
Jerryd Bayless * 26 3-8 1-2 2-2 4 2 1 0 3 9 5 -
Andre Miller * 22 4-11 0-1 4-4 4 3 1 0 0 12 9 -
Joel Przybilla * 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 1 7 -
Anthony Tolliver 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jeff Ayres 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 41 10-13 2-2 5-7 9 1 2 1 6 27 21 -
Jason Kidd * 36 1-6 1-6 0-0 6 6 0 0 0 3 9 -
J.J. Barea * 35 9-16 3-4 1-1 1 5 1 0 2 22 11 -
Erick Dampier * 31 3-7 0-1 2-8 15 2 0 0 1 8 17 -
Jason Terry * 28 2-13 1-5 3-4 1 4 0 0 1 8 -1 -
Shawn Marion * 25 0-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
Josh Howard * 21 4-8 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 8 3 -
Drew Gooden * 14 2-7 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 1 0 5 7 -
Tim Thomas * 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

* = starter