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2009-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% -
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 (27.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -25 (87-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Horford * 40 7-15 0-0 2-3 11 4 2 1 1 16 18 -
Joe Johnson * 34 9-18 3-5 0-2 3 6 0 0 0 21 12 -
Marvin Williams * 30 4-10 0-2 2-2 6 1 1 1 1 10 8 -
Mike Bibby * 27 6-11 2-4 4-5 4 6 2 0 2 18 17 -
Jamal Crawford * 26 9-17 4-7 4-6 3 1 2 0 2 26 13 -
Josh Smith * 20 5-6 0-0 0-1 3 3 3 0 2 10 11 -
Maurice Evans * 20 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
Zaza Pachulia * 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Randolph Morris * 10 0-0 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 1 1 3 6 -
Jason Collins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Othello Hunter 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jeff Teague 3 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 1 0 2 3 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Brewer * 39 5-12 1-3 4-6 4 3 1 0 3 15 8 -
Kevin Love * 33 6-12 0-1 3-3 19 0 0 0 1 15 21 -
Al Jefferson * 33 7-12 0-0 3-6 10 2 0 1 5 17 13 -
Damien Wilkins * 32 1-4 0-0 2-3 1 3 2 0 3 4 3 -
Jonny Flynn * 26 5-13 1-2 5-6 1 2 1 0 4 16 3 -
Ramon Sessions * 21 0-6 0-0 7-10 3 2 1 0 1 7 6 -
Ryan Hollins * 20 5-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 10 4 -
Wayne Ellington * 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Sasha Pavlovic * 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Nathan Jawai 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
Oleksiy Pecherov 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter