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2009-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 69.7% 30.3% -
Margin 52.8% 47.2% -0.6 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +13 (121-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 41 6-15 2-6 0-0 7 8 0 0 4 14 10 -
Vladimir Radmanovic * 36 3-8 1-6 0-0 3 2 0 3 1 7 6 -
Monta Ellis * 34 8-14 0-1 7-11 6 3 0 0 4 23 14 -
Corey Maggette * 33 9-14 0-0 7-11 6 4 1 0 3 25 19 -
Chris Hunter * 31 6-9 0-0 2-2 6 2 3 3 0 14 19 -
Anthony Morrow * 28 4-9 2-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 11 4 -
Anthony Randolph * 19 4-8 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 2 10 6 -
C.J. Watson * 15 1-5 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 4 1 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.J. Mayo * 41 9-17 0-3 4-6 7 5 1 0 4 22 14 -
Zach Randolph * 39 14-21 0-1 5-5 18 2 1 0 3 33 30 -
Mike Conley * 38 5-15 1-2 0-0 1 6 2 0 1 11 4 -
Marc Gasol * 37 10-17 0-0 2-4 9 4 2 4 2 22 22 -
Rudy Gay * 28 6-9 0-0 4-5 4 2 0 2 1 16 14 -
DeMarre Carroll * 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 4 3 -
Jamaal Tinsley * 16 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 3 0 0 2 1 2 -
Sam Young * 15 3-6 0-0 4-6 3 1 0 0 0 10 8 -
Hasheem Thabeet * 5 1-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter