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2009-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 44.4% 55.6% -
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% -

Actual: New York Knicks +7 (88-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 42 11-23 0-1 1-1 8 2 1 4 3 23 12 -
Joakim Noah * 38 4-13 0-0 2-3 21 1 0 1 2 10 18 -
Derrick Rose * 34 11-21 1-1 3-3 6 4 0 0 2 26 13 -
Taj Gibson * 32 3-4 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 0 1 8 8 -
Kirk Hinrich * 30 2-7 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 5 0 -
John Salmons * 25 2-9 1-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 7 -3 -
James Johnson * 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Brad Miller * 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Jannero Pargo * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David Lee * 42 8-13 0-0 2-2 21 5 0 0 1 18 30 -
Wilson Chandler * 39 8-18 0-2 0-0 3 4 2 0 2 16 5 -
Chris Duhon * 36 3-10 1-4 0-0 5 4 2 0 1 7 7 -
Jared Jeffries * 34 3-7 1-2 3-6 4 1 2 0 1 10 9 -
Al Harrington * 32 8-16 2-7 2-4 3 2 2 0 1 20 10 -
Danilo Gallinari * 28 2-13 1-8 6-6 7 3 0 3 0 11 11 -
Larry Hughes * 17 2-6 0-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 4 3 -
Jonathan Bender * 8 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter