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2009-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% -
Margin 56.3% 43.7% -1.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +5 (104-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deron Williams * 38 6-16 0-2 6-7 2 12 0 0 4 18 12 -
Mehmet Okur * 35 3-8 1-3 0-0 9 2 1 1 2 7 10 -
CJ Miles * 32 5-15 3-7 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 13 3 -
Carlos Boozer * 30 7-16 0-0 3-5 8 3 0 1 2 17 11 -
Ronnie Brewer * 29 2-9 0-0 1-2 3 4 3 0 0 5 6 -
Paul Millsap * 26 8-11 0-0 4-6 4 2 1 0 1 20 15 -
Andrei Kirilenko * 25 4-9 3-5 3-3 6 0 0 0 1 14 10 -
Eric Maynor * 9 1-5 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -
Wesley Matthews * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Kyrylo Fesenko 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
Kosta Koufos 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwight Howard * 36 5-8 0-0 11-15 9 2 1 5 4 21 26 -
Rashard Lewis * 35 7-14 4-8 0-2 4 2 1 1 1 18 11 -
Vince Carter * 33 5-15 1-3 7-9 9 3 0 0 1 18 14 -
JJ Redick * 24 7-9 2-2 4-4 1 0 1 0 1 20 12 -
Jason Williams * 22 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 4 5 -
Mickael Pietrus * 21 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
Matt Barnes * 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
Jameer Nelson * 13 0-6 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -5 -
Anthony Johnson * 12 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 4 4 -
Marcin Gortat * 11 2-2 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 2 1 5 9 -
Ryan Anderson * 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 -
Brandon Bass * 5 0-0 0-0 3-4 0 0 1 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter