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2009-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 55.8% 44.2% -
Margin 39.5% 60.5% +2.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -3 (81-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Redd * 41 5-12 2-3 2-4 2 3 2 0 1 14 8 -
Brandon Jennings * 39 7-19 1-2 1-2 4 6 2 1 2 16 8 -
Andrew Bogut * 39 14-19 0-0 3-7 18 3 1 3 3 31 34 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 24 1-9 0-2 1-1 6 1 1 0 2 3 0 -
Charlie Bell * 21 2-5 2-3 0-2 0 1 1 2 1 6 4 -
Luke Ridnour * 12 3-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
Carlos Delfino * 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 0 1 -
Jodie Meeks * 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Hakim Warrick * 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Francisco Elson * 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Luc Mbah a Moute 21 2-4 0-1 2-4 4 2 0 1 0 6 9 -
Kurt Thomas 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Murphy * 34 4-9 2-5 4-5 13 2 2 1 7 14 16 -
Mike Dunleavy * 30 2-17 0-4 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 4 -4 -
Roy Hibbert * 28 7-15 0-1 2-2 7 1 1 1 2 16 9 -
Dahntay Jones * 28 2-8 0-0 3-6 5 1 1 2 2 7 6 -
Earl Watson * 25 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 4 3 0 0 4 11 -
T.J. Ford * 22 3-12 0-3 2-2 6 5 0 0 2 8 5 -
Tyler Hansbrough * 20 4-7 0-0 3-3 5 0 0 2 1 11 10 -
Brandon Rush * 20 3-8 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 7 5 -
Luther Head * 16 2-6 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 4 4 -
Solomon Jones * 12 2-2 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 1 6 4 -

* = starter