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2009-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 55.1% 44.9% -
Margin 30.3% 69.7% +4.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +7 (102-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 43 9-23 2-6 5-7 3 6 2 2 2 25 13 -
Anderson Varejao * 33 5-11 0-0 3-3 8 0 0 1 0 13 11 -
Mo Williams * 32 4-9 0-3 0-2 6 5 1 0 1 8 10 -
Anthony Parker * 32 5-7 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 12 9 -
Delonte West * 29 6-11 0-1 6-6 7 4 0 0 2 18 16 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 19 2-5 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 3 5 3 -
Shaquille O'Neal * 17 1-7 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 0 2 5 4 -
Daniel Gibson * 16 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
JJ Hickson * 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jason Kidd * 36 3-8 2-5 2-2 4 11 1 0 1 10 17 -
Tim Thomas * 36 7-14 2-6 6-7 7 2 0 0 1 22 16 -
Shawn Marion * 35 5-11 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 1 1 12 11 -
Jason Terry * 34 7-12 1-2 4-4 0 4 1 0 1 19 11 -
Erick Dampier * 25 4-6 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 0 8 12 -
J.J. Barea * 24 2-8 1-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 5 2 -
Josh Howard * 24 5-11 1-4 3-3 1 1 0 1 1 14 5 -
Drew Gooden * 22 5-10 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 2 0 12 13 -

* = starter