Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -7 (95-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 42 | 10-23 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Roy * | 40 | 11-14 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 33 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 15 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 13-31 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 6 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 32 | 7-7 | 7-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| James Jones * | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter