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2009-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 36.8% 63.2% +3.0 (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +3 (101-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 48 16-32 5-7 3-4 6 4 0 0 2 40 16 -
Al Horford * 47 6-10 0-0 3-4 12 3 0 3 5 15 18 -
Jamal Crawford * 37 5-10 1-2 3-3 7 2 1 0 3 14 11 -
Mike Bibby * 33 3-8 2-6 2-2 0 4 0 0 2 10 4 -
Marvin Williams * 31 1-7 0-1 2-2 7 1 2 2 0 4 9 -
Josh Smith * 28 2-12 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 2 0 8 4 -
Zaza Pachulia * 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 3 0 1 4 4 -
Maurice Evans * 13 1-3 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Jeff Teague * 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Salmons * 45 5-13 2-4 4-6 3 3 2 1 0 16 12 -
Luol Deng * 44 8-17 0-1 5-7 12 6 1 2 4 21 21 -
Joakim Noah * 44 1-5 0-0 5-6 11 2 1 2 1 7 17 -
Derrick Rose * 42 14-24 0-1 4-6 4 6 0 0 0 32 18 -
Kirk Hinrich * 35 5-9 1-2 2-2 2 4 1 0 0 13 11 -
Taj Gibson * 25 5-9 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 3 10 9 -
Brad Miller * 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 2 2 -
James Johnson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter