Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -8 (108-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 44 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 43 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 38 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 7-9 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 33 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 37 | 8-20 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| David Andersen * | 24 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tracy McGrady | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 43 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 24 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 40 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 34 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 12 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter