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2009-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 80.0% 20.0% -
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +6 (98-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenyon Martin * 38 1-4 0-0 0-0 13 1 1 0 2 2 11 -
Carmelo Anthony * 37 5-16 0-1 7-9 6 4 1 0 2 17 10 -
Nene Hilario * 36 6-11 0-0 3-5 10 0 0 3 0 15 17 -
JR Smith * 29 11-17 0-3 3-5 3 1 1 0 1 25 12 -
Arron Afflalo * 29 2-9 0-6 2-2 6 3 1 2 1 6 8 -
Ty Lawson * 25 6-10 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 14 7 -
Anthony Carter * 22 3-7 1-2 2-2 1 5 1 0 2 9 7 -
Chris Andersen * 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 4 8 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Paul * 41 13-20 1-2 3-3 9 19 1 0 4 30 35 -
David West * 39 6-16 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 0 12 6 -
Devin Brown * 36 3-10 2-5 2-4 3 1 1 0 1 10 4 -
Peja Stojakovic * 34 9-14 4-8 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 24 13 -
Emeka Okafor * 29 4-9 0-0 1-3 12 0 0 5 0 9 17 -
James Posey * 24 2-4 1-2 2-3 7 0 0 0 0 7 10 -
Darius Songaila * 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 2 -
Darren Collison * 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -2 -
Marcus Thornton 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter