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2009-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 25.2% 74.8% -
Margin 46.0% 54.0% +0.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +3 (85-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Jennings * 36 5-21 1-8 7-7 4 8 2 0 2 18 9 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 31 8-15 2-5 0-0 7 1 2 1 1 18 13 -
Charlie Bell * 31 6-13 3-8 1-1 1 0 0 1 0 16 5 -
Carlos Delfino * 23 3-6 0-1 0-0 6 5 0 0 1 6 10 -
Hakim Warrick * 23 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 3 4 -
Michael Redd * 20 2-9 1-3 2-4 2 3 0 0 1 7 2 -
Andrew Bogut * 17 2-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 0 4 7 -
Kurt Thomas * 17 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
Luke Ridnour * 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 1 1 0 2 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
Francisco Elson 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jodie Meeks 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 38 6-13 2-4 12-14 10 8 0 3 6 26 28 -
Mo Williams * 35 5-13 2-5 5-5 2 3 2 0 2 17 9 -
Anderson Varejao * 30 3-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
Delonte West * 26 5-9 0-1 2-3 4 2 1 1 2 12 9 -
Jamario Moon * 23 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 2 1 2 4 -
Anthony Parker * 21 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 3 5 -
JJ Hickson * 18 1-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Shaquille O'Neal * 17 4-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 2 9 9 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 15 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 1 0 6 11 -
Daniel Gibson * 12 1-5 0-1 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -

* = starter