Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +18 (104-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 25 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 21 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 18 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 29 | 10-17 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 26 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 21 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter