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2009-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 25.3% 74.7% -
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (111-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Ariza * 34 7-18 1-8 3-3 8 4 1 0 3 18 10 -
Aaron Brooks * 30 7-15 3-6 6-7 1 7 1 0 3 23 14 -
Shane Battier * 30 4-8 3-5 0-0 4 4 2 3 0 11 16 -
Carl Landry * 27 5-10 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 1 4 12 6 -
Luis Scola * 27 4-5 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 0 1 9 12 -
Kyle Lowry * 26 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 6 2 0 3 2 7 -
David Andersen * 20 6-8 3-4 2-2 9 0 0 0 2 17 16 -
Chuck Hayes * 20 2-7 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
Chase Budinger * 13 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 1 1 2 -1 -
Tracy McGrady * 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Brian Cook 0 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Jermaine Taylor 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carmelo Anthony * 43 9-23 1-1 19-20 9 3 1 1 2 38 27 -
Kenyon Martin * 33 4-11 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 9 5 -
Nene Hilario * 31 4-8 0-0 1-2 4 0 3 1 2 9 7 -
JR Smith * 28 9-14 2-5 1-3 3 3 2 0 2 21 13 -
Chris Andersen * 26 1-2 0-0 2-4 11 0 0 3 1 4 15 -
Ty Lawson * 21 3-8 0-0 0-0 3 6 2 0 1 6 8 -
Chauncey Billups * 19 5-8 2-3 3-3 0 3 1 0 1 15 10 -
Arron Afflalo * 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Anthony Carter 11 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 5 2 -
Malik Allen 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter