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2009-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 26.6% 73.4% -
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +13 (110-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Gasol * 34 6-7 0-0 2-4 8 3 1 0 2 14 17 -
O.J. Mayo * 32 6-14 2-4 1-2 1 4 2 1 2 15 7 -
Mike Conley * 31 6-8 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 12 11 -
Rudy Gay * 30 4-11 1-3 2-2 3 1 1 1 3 11 3 -
Zach Randolph * 30 4-9 0-0 2-2 10 1 3 0 2 10 13 -
Sam Young * 22 7-13 0-0 6-6 3 0 1 0 4 20 7 -
Jamaal Tinsley * 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 5 3 0 3 4 8 -
DeMarre Carroll * 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 2 2 5 -
Hasheem Thabeet * 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Steven Hunter 9 1-7 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Marcus Williams 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Crawford * 34 5-12 0-1 2-4 1 3 1 0 0 12 5 -
Al Horford * 32 7-15 0-0 1-1 10 2 1 0 1 15 12 -
Josh Smith * 30 6-13 0-0 2-2 7 1 2 4 1 14 14 -
Joe Johnson * 28 10-16 2-4 4-4 8 3 2 0 2 26 21 -
Maurice Evans * 24 5-8 3-6 0-0 2 5 2 0 2 13 12 -
Mike Bibby * 22 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 5 -1 -
Marvin Williams * 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 1 2 4 7 -
Jeff Teague * 17 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 6 1 0 2 4 4 -
Zaza Pachulia * 16 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 2 0 4 8 -
Randolph Morris 8 3-6 0-0 1-3 3 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
Othello Hunter 7 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 5 -

* = starter