Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 60.4% | 39.6% | -2.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +12 (116-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 35 | 14-22 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 29 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 33 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| George Hill * | 24 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Malik Hairston | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 41 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 36 | 11-20 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 35 | 8-17 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 32 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 25 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 22 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Robin Lopez | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Earl Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter