Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +20 (115-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 31 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 14 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 14 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Pops Mensah-Bonsu | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 36 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 29 | 8-19 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 27 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
* = starter