Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +4 (94-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 40 | 9-22 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| David West * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| James Posey * | 27 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 20 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Darius Songaila | 11 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Julian Wright | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Dampier * | 36 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 36 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 26 | 10-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter