Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✗ (31.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -28 (90-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 38 | 15-28 | 3-4 | 8-12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 41 | 19 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 31 | 5-16 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 29 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 27 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Sam Young * | 23 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Steven Hunter | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Williams | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 32 | 11-23 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 7 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 27 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 25 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| James Jones * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter