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2009-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 28.8% 71.2% -
Margin 21.9% 78.1% +7.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +1 (98-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerald Wallace * 50 6-14 2-4 9-12 16 2 0 1 5 23 23 -
Stephen Jackson * 46 11-25 2-8 4-4 7 1 0 0 2 28 9 -
Raymond Felton * 45 8-16 2-4 2-2 4 8 1 1 2 20 16 -
Boris Diaw * 40 4-11 0-4 0-0 4 0 1 1 6 8 -3 -
Tyson Chandler * 35 3-5 0-0 5-6 6 0 0 1 2 11 11 -
Stephen Graham * 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
D.J. Augustin * 15 1-4 1-2 0-1 1 1 1 0 0 3 2 -
Derrick Brown * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Nazr Mohammed 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 46 14-34 0-1 8-10 6 2 3 1 3 36 11 -
Shawn Marion * 45 5-10 0-0 5-6 15 0 2 2 1 15 23 -
Jason Kidd * 41 1-6 1-5 2-2 3 9 6 1 2 5 16 -
Erick Dampier * 40 7-7 0-0 0-2 18 1 1 3 2 14 28 -
Jason Terry * 38 4-19 0-6 3-3 1 0 0 0 2 11 -9 -
J.J. Barea * 25 4-9 2-4 0-0 1 5 1 1 2 10 7 -
Quinton Ross * 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Drew Gooden * 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
Tim Thomas * 6 0-2 0-2 3-3 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

* = starter