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2009-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 43.5% 56.5% -
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +5 (104-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Roy * 39 9-25 2-7 3-3 3 6 3 0 3 23 7 -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 35 8-13 1-1 5-5 2 1 1 0 2 22 11 -
Steve Blake * 35 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 8 0 0 4 0 3 -
Martell Webster * 34 4-13 3-9 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 13 4 -
Joel Przybilla * 33 1-3 0-0 0-0 11 2 1 3 1 2 15 -
Andre Miller * 32 8-13 2-3 2-2 6 3 1 0 2 20 15 -
Juwan Howard * 16 6-7 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 15 9 -
Jerryd Bayless * 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
Dante Cunningham 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 37 14-24 1-2 4-6 7 7 1 2 4 33 22 -
Anthony Parker * 36 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
Mo Williams * 35 5-11 0-5 4-4 3 10 1 0 1 14 16 -
Anderson Varejao * 35 10-17 0-0 2-3 10 1 2 1 1 22 18 -
Delonte West * 27 2-6 0-1 1-2 0 3 1 0 1 5 2 -
Shaquille O'Neal * 23 5-11 0-0 4-4 11 0 0 1 2 14 13 -
Jamario Moon * 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
JJ Hickson * 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -

* = starter