Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -13 (93-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 10-18 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 36 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 33 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 31 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 29 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 8-24 | 0-2 | 12-15 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 39 | 7-19 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 37 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| James Jones | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter